- Potential appreciation has little impact on Singapore banks
- Table below explains some of the exposure of the Singapore banks
- DBS's wholly owned DBS Bank (HK) has 50 braches and a market share of 5% in Hong Kong. Hence they will benefit if the RMB appreciates.
- OCBC owns a stake in Bank on Ningbo, which is worth around SGD661.9 million (about 2.3% of OCBC's current market capital) and hence with an appreciation of RMB, this will mean that the investment in Bank of Ningbo is worth more.
Branch Network | Investments in China | Estimated % of Total Loans | |
DBS | Eight main branches and seven sub-branches in China | n.a. | 2.5 |
OCBC | Five main branches and four sub-branches in China | 10% stake in Bank of Ningbo | 2.5 |
UOB | Eight branches in China | 15.4% stake in Evergrowing Bank | 2.0 |
In my view, I would think that if the RMB were to appreciate, the banks will actually stand to benefit much much more .This is because I believe that the banks would have also made other kinds of mini investments that are yet to be reported. (We all know that Singapore is heavily invested in China) Hence in general their total assets in China will appreciate!
But then again, though the RMB is expected to appreciate in the long term. We are still unsure about the short term direction!
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