This is a review of an article by Phillip Securities Research plus some of my inputs. ( The number facts are from the article) Found out a few things:
1. Price of non-landed private residential properties decreased by (from URA)
- 15.2% - core central region
- 17.2% - rest of core central region
- 7.55 - outside central region
The other reason is the HDB up graders find the outside central region more affordable and hence are the people creating the demand.
2. Revaluation losses
- Expect property companies ( eg. SPH how hold some properties, wheel lock, REITs etc.) to write down assets by 20-30% in 2009) This is because in 4Q 2008, the write downs less than 10%, as property markets have not dipped much.
- After the Singapore government scarpped the Deferred Payment scheme to curb property speculation ( the scheme that allows buyers to start paying for their house only after it obtain the Temporary Occupation Permit (TOP), developers have comed up with some similar, called the IAS. Under this system, the buyer pays a 20% downpayment when they book,and will not need to make progressive payments untill the house has obatains the TOP. However, there have to pay a premium of about 3% for this IAS
So in general, the property market is expected to decline!